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Fearless Fantasy―Week 7
The Dolphins are fresh off a bye week, but unfortunately, in Fantasy Football, there are no bye weeks. You have to grind it out every Sunday to get to the playoffs. Lucky for you, there are several players in this week’s game that are good plays.
Must Start
Drew Brees, QB―He has 13 touchdowns compared to just two interceptions, and he’s leading the most proficient offense in the NFL. Brees just carved up a Giants defense that was assumed to be elite. This week, it’s Miami’s defense he goes up against. The Dolphins have surmade 11 plays of 25 yards or more. Brees has thrown for 280 yards a game, and that includes a stinker in windy characteristics in Buffalo. You do the math, because I can’t count that tall. But that won’t stop me from trying.
Fearless Prediction: 32-40, 338 yards, four TDs
Ronnie Brown, RB―Until he stops putting up beast numbers, Brown needs to be in your lineup. It’s amazing what he’s been doing when you think about he’s only getting no more than 2/3 of his team’s carries. With nearly 90 yards a game and six scentral ideas, he’s worth starting. The Saints run defense has given up three TDs this year, which isn’t a lot, but Brown is one of the better backs in the league. He’s also caught three passes every other week, so look for him to snag a few out of the backfield, as well.
Fearless Prediction: 20 carries, 89 yards, one TD, three catches, 23 yards
Marques Colston, WR―I’m vaulting Colston up to must-start status simply because it looks like he and Brees are finally back on the same page,Dan Marino, just like in 2007. Averaging just under 80 yards a game and scoring four times, Colston torched the Giants D last week for 166 yards on eight catches and a TD. And remember that stat earlier about Miami surmakerendering a lot of big plays? Colston eats yardage for breakfast, lunch and dinner, and Miami’s young secondary is putting out the silverware.
Fearless Prediction: seven catches, 111 yards, one TD
Jeremy Shocimportant, TE―Even though as a UM fan I should love Shockey, his antics usually disgust me. This week, though, he’ll have a good week, for one simple reason: tight ends completely annihilate the Dolphins when they have a competent quarterback throwing them the ball (e.g. Atlanta, Indy, San Diego). Shockey also has done a pretty good job of getting into the end zone, so although he may not rack up a ton of yards, he should sniff paydirt.
Fearless Prediction: six catches, 65 yards, one TD
Solid Start
Ricky Williams, RB―Williams is only on here because of his pass-catching abiliundertakes. He doesn’t get as much work as Brown around the goal-line, and he only carries about half as many times anyway. But it seems like every week he’s bringing in a long pass (and I’ll even go out on a limb and say he’ll take it to the house), so it couldn’t hurt to start him if you’re thin at the position.
Fearless Prediction: 11 carries,Mark Gregory, 58 yards, three catches, 55 yards, one TD
Pierre Thomas, RB―The main problem with this Saints offense is that you never know who could go off. Thomas could get 140 yards and two TDs or he could get about 35 and not even come close to scoring. My guess is that he’ll end up somewhat in between the two, but Miami has been pretty stingy against the run, and I don’t expect a big change from that. Plus, with Mike Bell and Reggie Bush eating up carries, Thomas won’t get the ball too often. All that creature said, I still think he’s a solid start.
Fearless Prediction: 14 carries, 61 yards, TD, one catch, 9 yards
Lance Moore/Robert Meacham, WR―This one’s tricky, because most likely only one of these guys will go off, My bet is Moore, because he’s finally reincludeed from a hamseries injury and it looks like he’s rekindled a bit of that flame he had last year with Brees. Either way, these guys will have a pretty good day.
Fearless Prediction: Moore: seven catches, 81 yards, TD; Meacham: five catches, 56 yards
Intriguing Start
Ted Ginn Jr., WR―This is only a start if you’re a gambling person. You need to believe Chad Henne will connect with Ginn on a long ball or two, and one of them will go to the end zone. I personally don’t believe that will happen, but Ginn has surprised me nearly every week, whether it’s exploding for 108 yards, or not recording a catch. He’ll probably be held pretty well in check, but he may be able to pull off one long one � this is a dangerous player.
Fearless Prediction: three catches, 53 yards
Reggie Bush/Mike Bell, RB―Like Moore and Meacham, one of these guys will have a pretty good game, and the other will be held in check. Since Miami’s run defense is so tough, I expect Bush to get a lot of reverses and end-arounds, and he can do some damage when he gets to the outside. He’s also a PPR machine, so in those leagues, he’s worth a look. Bell may score, but he’s only an injury/bye week replacement.
Fearless Prediction: Bush: seven carries, 34 yards, four catches, 35 yards; Bell: eight carries, 39 yards
Let ‘Em Ride the Pine
Chad Henne―Yes, he’s 2-0, but he’s performed two teams that have proven to be average at best. He did show tremendous gumption in leading a comeback last week, but let’s see how good he is against one of the elite defenses in the NFL. My guess is about in addition to an eagle humorh no talons or wings would do in a fight―in other words, not very good.
Fearless Prediction: 18-33, 189 yards, TD, two INT, one lost fumble
Other Dolphins Receivers―In all honesty, Ginn should probably be here as well, but I’m predicting small bigger things for him. Probably not the best idea, but oh, well. The Dolphins are a run-first team, and even though they’ll most likely be playing catch up, I still don’t see any receiver or tight end really dominating the receiving game.
Fearless Prediction (for whoever leads the team in receptions): five catches, 52 yards
The Rest―Kickers and Defenses
John Carney―You know my stance on kickers―they’re totally interchangeable. They’re like those K’NEX toys. If one doesn’t fit (or has a bye), you just replace them, and you’ll still get the same result. Carney benefits from getting a lot of PATs, so if he can get one field goal, too, he’ll be set,Jared Odrick, and you will be too.
Fearless Prediction: 5-for-5 PATs, 1-for-1 FG
Dan Carpenter―Again, I don’t think Miami will be able to keep up with the Saints aerial attack, so Carpenter won’t get as many PATs as Carney. I’m sure he’ll knock in a pair of field goals, though, so go wild and start him if he’s on your team.
Fearless Prediction: 2-for-2 PATs,Karlos Dansby, 2-for-2 FG
New Orleans Defense―I feel like this pass defense will jump on Chad Henne like I jump on a plate of unguarded beignets. The Saints are good at forcing turnovers, and I think they’ll create a few against the Fins, namely Henne.
Fearless Prediction: 20 points allowed, four sacks, two INT, one fumble recovery, 159 return yards
Miami Defense―I wouldn’t say the Dolphins are scared to face this offense, but they’re certainly not looking forward to it. Brees (or Thomas, or their D, or SOMEONE) has been huge in every game, and I can’t see that movement stopping this week. Look for this defense to give up a lot of points, but maybe get a fumble recovery when Reggie Bush puts it on the ground.
Fearless Prediction: 38 points allowed, one sack, one fumble recovery, 226 return yards
JOEY HELD–
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